NationalExit Poll 2024 Results Update; Haryana Jammu Kashmir | BJP Congress seats
After the conclusion of voting for the Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir parliamentary elections, the exit poll results are released. The Congress appears to be returning to the Haryana government. The Congress and National Conference are expected to come to power in Jammu and Kashmir.
These estimates were released in 12 exit polls from Haryana and 10 from Jammu and Kashmir. Indianewsget’s journalist poll is also included.
Voting is complete for 90-90 seats of Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir. The results will be announced on October 8. To form a government in these states, you need a victory with 46 seats.
Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir polls polls
Survey of 2 journalists from Indianewsget…
Haryana: Chances of Congress government after 10 years
Indianewsget journalists reached all 90 seats in the Haryana Assembly. By talking to ordinary people, political experts and seasoned journalists, we understood the direction of the wind. It is clear from this conversation that the Congress will become the largest party in Haryana and it will also be able to form the government on its own. Know the full exit survey…
Jammu and Kashmir: No one has majority, Mehbooba can become kingmaker
Indianewsget journalists visited all 90 assembly seats in Jammu and Kashmir and understood the direction of the wind. During the elections, we spoke with ordinary people, political experts, senior journalists and political parties. The result is that even after 10 years, no party or alliance seems to get the 46 seats required to secure a majority in Jammu and Kashmir. Know the full exit survey…
2 opinion polls were also conducted: Hung Assembly in Haryana, Congress-NC in Jammu and Kashmir
Only two agencies had conducted opinion polls before the elections. A Times Now-Matris opinion poll suggests a hung assembly in Haryana. According to the Lokpol opinion survey in Jammu and Kashmir, the Congress and the NC government seem to be formed.
Difference Between Exit Polls and Opinion Polls Opinion polls and exit polls are election surveys. Opinion polls are conducted before elections. Its results are also published before the elections. Everyone is included in this. This means that it is not necessary for the voter to answer the survey questions. In this survey, the public mood is estimated on the basis of different issues.
Exit polls are conducted during elections. Its results are published once all voting phases have been completed. The officials of the polling agencies at the exit of the polling stations are present in the polling stations on the day of the vote. After voting, they ask voters questions related to the election.
A report is produced based on the voters’ responses. The report is evaluated to determine which way voters are most inclined. After that, the results are estimated.
The exit polls of the last 3 parliamentary elections in Haryana…
Jat vote bank split in 2019, Congress won 17 seats There are 22.2% Jat voters in Haryana. They have influence over more than 40 of the state’s 90 assembly seats. In the 2014 assembly elections, Jats voted in large numbers for the BJP. Due to this, the BJP won the majority with 47 seats and the Congress remained out of power for 10 years.
However, in 2019, Jats turned against the BJP. Its effect was visible on the results. The BJP went from 47 to 40 seats. The BJP formed a government with the JJP and 7 independent MLAs. The Congress won 17 seats. The party won 15 seats in 2014. In 2019, this figure increased to 31.
The BJP will suffer a loss in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, while the Congress will win.
Close contest between BJP and Congress based on Lok Sabha elections
If Congress wins, 4 faces including Hooda and Shailja will be in the race to become CM, only Saini of BJP will be the face of CM.
If no one gets a majority, small parties will make kings.
The main conflict in Haryana is between the BJP and the Congress. However, looking at the pattern of previous parliamentary elections, small parties and independents play an important role in government formation. Omprakash Chautala’s Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) has formed an alliance with the Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP). The second regional party is Dushyant Chautala’s Jannayak Janata Party (JJP). Dushyant joined hands with Chandrashekhar Azad’s Azad Samaj Party (ASP). The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is contesting elections on all 90 seats for the first time. There is no chance of anyone getting a majority in the opinion poll. If this happens, then the alliance of INLD-BSP and JJP-ASP can play the role of kingmaker. The JJP had won 10 seats in the 2019 assembly elections. With their support, the BJP government could be formed. Dushyant Chautala has been appointed as Deputy CM. However, the alliance broke down before the elections.
Two exit polls from the 2014 legislative elections in Jammu and Kashmir predicted a hung assembly.
Parliamentary elections were held in Jammu and Kashmir after 10 years. After the hung Assembly in 2014, the BJP and the PDP formed a coalition government. The government fell after the alliance broke down in 2018. After that, the state exercised the governor’s rule (as per the then Constitution of Jammu and Kashmir) for 6 months. After the entry into force of the presidential regulation.
The 2019 Lok Sabha elections took place during the President’s tenure, in which the BJP returned to power at the Center with a majority. After this, on August 5, 2019, the BJP government abolished Article 370 and divided the state into two union territories (Jammu-Kashmir and Ladakh). Parliamentary elections were held in Jammu and Kashmir after 10 years in 2024.
Congress and National Conference close to majority based on 2024 Lok Sabha elections
2 faces in the race for chief minister in Jammu and Kashmir
If the Assembly remains deadlocked, the PDP and independents will be kingmakers. In the polling held for 90 seats of the Jammu and Kashmir Assembly, 908 candidates were in the fray. Of these, 365 were independent. This is the second highest number of independents in a parliamentary election in Jammu and Kashmir from 1967 to 2024.
The PDP, which formed the government with the BJP in the last general elections in 2014, did not contest all 90 seats this time. In the event of an assembly without a majority, the PDP and the independent deputies could prove to be kingmakers. Engineer Rashid’s party may also play a role in government formation.