American brokerage firm Morgan Stanley believes that the Indian economy will remain stable. India could be one of the best-performing emerging markets in 2025 thanks to strong domestic investments. If the current market trend continues, the Sensex could reach the level of 1,05,000 in a year. This represents an increase of 28.5% from the current level.
Sensex will reach this level if the crude oil price continuously remains below $70 per barrel. Due to this, inflation will decrease and the RBI will reduce interest rates more than expected.
Base Scenario: The brokerage firm said that even in the case of a normal trend (base scenario) over the next one year, Sensex can reach the level of 93,000. This represents a rise of 13.8% . This estimate was made on the assumption that due to the reduction in the public deficit, the economy will remain stable, private investment will increase and the difference between real growth and real rates will increase. Bear case: Morgan Stanley estimates that if there is a recession. on the market (Bear Case). If this happens, the Sensex could fall 14.3% from the current level in a year to the 70,000 level. This will happen when crude oil prices reach $110 per barrel and the US economy will fall into recession.
Mark Mobius expects 20% return in 18 months
Mark Mobius, chairman of the Mobius Emerging Opportunities Fund, is optimistic about India’s growth. He expects a 20% return in the Indian market over the next 12-18 months. He believes that India will perform better than China.
We are ahead of China in green investment, now in second place
India has overtaken China in green investment thanks to the rise of renewable energy. Deals worth around Rs 20,000 crore were concluded in the third quarter. This is four times less than China and only less than America.
The bullish trend which lasted for 5 days stopped, Sensex closed flat
After the Reserve Bank’s monetary policy, the five-day upward trend in the domestic stock market came to a halt on Friday. Sensex lost 57 points to close at 81,709. Nifty also fell 31 points and held steady at 24,678. There was pressure to book profits in IT, technology and energy stocks. On the other hand, metals, consumer durable, automobile, services, telecom and industrial stocks saw a rise.