PM Modi and Donald Trump during the ‘Namaste Trump’ event organized in Ahmedabad on February 24, 2020.
“Sincere congratulations to my friend Donald Trump on his historic victory. We hope that we will both work together for the good of our people and for stability and peace in the world.” As soon as Trump’s victory in the US elections was confirmed, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi congratulated him on social media.
The question now is what India’s relationship will be with Trump, who returns to power with the slogan “Make America Great Again.”
Know in 5 points what effect Trump’s presidency will have on India.
1. Trump could increase tariffs on Indian exports. The effect of Trump’s return to the presidency is visible on Indian exports. The main reason is that Trump called India a tariff king, that is, a country that imposes high taxes on American products.
Trump had said during the September 17 election campaign that India was very strict on import duties. If my government comes, we will change this situation and put pressure on India to reduce tariffs.
According to Rajan Kumar, professor of international affairs at Jawaharlal Nehru University (JNU), if India does not reduce tariffs on American products, then Trump can also increase tariffs on Indian products. For this reason, Indian products could become expensive in America. This will have a direct impact on Indian exports.
There was a trade of $128.78 billion, or about Rs 10 lakh crore, between the two countries last year, i.e. 2023-24. During this period, India had exported Rs 77.52 billion or Rs 6 lakh crore to America.
2. The H1B visa process for employment can be difficult. Trump had changed the H1-B visa rules during his first term. Under the new rules, the pay of foreign employees remained equal to that of American employees, but many conditions were also imposed on migrant workers. For this reason, the denial rate of H1-B visa applications increased during Trump’s first term. Due to the rules, the time required to complete the visa procedure has also increased.
A total of 3.86 lakh immigrants were issued H1-B visas in 2023, of which 2.79 lakh were Indians. Now we have Trump back, who has already described the H1-B visa as very bad for the American workforce. If Trump imposes such conditions again, the biggest impact will be felt on India’s IT, financial and other professional sectors, which rely on H-1B visas to get jobs in America.
Currently, there are approximately 51,000,000 Indian immigrants in America. The number of Indian workers is the highest among all migrant workers in America. In 2021, 72% of total NRIs aged 16 and above worked here.
On the other hand, Trump has also taken a strict stance towards immigrants entering America illegally. Last year, 29 million people were arrested for crossing the border illegally. Of these, 90,415 were Indians.
However, Trump is in favor of bringing skilled labor to America. They said that-
50,000 new jobs for Indians. There is a potential for 50,000 new job opportunities to be created in America in one year. Of these, a maximum of 20,000 jobs will be in the IT sector. Trump promised to give green cards to Indian students after they graduate in America. 5 lakh students will benefit.
3. Defense agreements such as the Military and Security Initiative on Critical and Emerging Technologies (iCET) and GE-HL have strengthened military ties between India and the United States. These agreements were reached during Biden’s term. It is expected that after Trump’s return, defense relations between India and the United States can further improve.
China is a major reason: During Trump’s last term, the QUAD alliance between India, America, Japan and Australia was strengthened in the Indo-Pacific region to end the influence of China. This series of US military deals with India may continue in the future with the sole aim of stopping China. Arms purchases, technology transfers and joint military exercises are expected to accelerate during Trump’s next term. Trump had announced his hope of getting an F-35 fighter jet by selling military hardware worth Rs 30,000 crore to India. Submarine and drone deals were reached during Biden’s term, but F-35 fighter jets were not received. India can now procure this elite class fighter.
4. Pakistan, Kashmir and Bangladesh: Regarding Pakistan, Trump said we want to strengthen our relations with them. But Trump had clearly stated that he should be held responsible for terrorism. Even during the election campaign, Trump declared: “We will bring peace to the world by force.” This statement by Trump is a positive message for India on the issue of radicalism and terrorism.
Trump had refused to intervene in the matter when Article 370 was removed from Kashmir. He had said that it was an internal matter of India. On the other hand, Kamala Harris had said, “We need to remind Kashmiris that they are not alone in the world. We are monitoring the situation. If the situation changes, intervention will be necessary. »
Trump had condemned atrocities committed against the Hindu minority in Bangladesh. He said violence was being perpetrated against Hindus, Christians and other minorities in Bangladesh. They are attacked, they are pillaged. I condemn it.
Khalistani terrorism can be curbed in America and Canada by joining forces in an anti-terrorism campaign. Extradition of terrorist Pannu is possible. Trump suspended military and economic aid to Pakistan in 2020 for harboring terrorists.
5. What will be the impact on the world?
Trump is strict on China, India benefits. Trump banned big tech companies like China’s Huawei during his first term. India benefited from his decision. If they continue with the old austerity policy, big Chinese companies could set up operations in India. At the same time, Trump is also working to reduce China’s influence in the global supply chain. This also benefits India.
US investments in major Indian companies could increase by Rs 5,000 crore. The issue of Musk’s Tesla investment in India may be resolved. Rating agency Nomura placed India among the top three countries to have benefited from Trump’s policies. This also includes Japan and Malaysia. Trump’s soft stance on Russia will also be beneficial for India. The India-Russia partnership in the defense and energy sectors will continue without any problems. Trump considers himself a true friend of India.
According to Professor Rajan Kumar, with the arrival of Donald Trump as president, he will face big challenges like the war between Russia and Ukraine and between Israel and Hamas. Trump has spoken before about bringing peace through power. Trump also made statements earlier about the war between Russia and Ukraine. In an interview, Trump said:
On the other hand, Trump’s attitude towards the war between Israel and Hamas has been slightly different. Trump has talked about ending the war in Gaza as quickly as possible. However, it is unclear whether they want to end the war with a ceasefire or with the elimination of Hamas.
Trump had openly supported Israel on several occasions during his previous term. He spoke of recognizing Jerusalem as Israel’s capital instead of Tel Aviv. At the same time, he moved the American embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem. In addition, Trump recognized the Syrian Golan Heights as Israeli territory.
————————————
How Trump became a politician from a business mogul: He bought a beauty pageant, hosted a reality show, and decided to become president after listening to Obama’s taunts.
It was April 30, 2011, when President Barack Obama hosted a dinner at the White House. Obama kept taunting someone at the party by taking their name. here…